Now lets dig into some longshots. Note: prices listed WebIts why the hero of BigShots Golf is our kitchen its what makes us and we dont want to just talk about it, we want to live it. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. Gdula: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other places. From 2012 to 2019, it took double-digits under par to win the event, but the last three winners were Tyrrell Hatton at 4-under, Bryson DeChambeau at 11-under and Scheffler at 5-under. Poston. Two prop bets The PGA Tour schedule continues this week in Orlando, Florida for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge. Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule, MGC Extends Deadline For Diversity, Kiosk Studies, Minnesota Lawmakers Advance HF 2000 In House Committee. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Like Lowry, Fleetwood is built to contend at events like this. Kings vs. Thunder prediction and odds for Tuesday, February 28 (Fade OKC again), MLB rumors: Gavin Lux, Manny Machado, insider info on 2 recent free-agent signings, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 tee times, field, purse, odds and how to watch, LIV Golf Ratings Hold Steady at Horrid For Final Round of LIV Mayakoba, Honda Classic purse 2023: Payout by player, finishing position [Updated], Honda Classic live bets and odds ahead of Round 3, Its about time for a PGA-LPGA team event. Despite two disappointing finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles, McIlroy was still brilliant from tee-to-greenlosing over eight strokes with the putter during that stretch. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Since, hes picked up some additional confidence and experience on long, difficult courses, playing in his first Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow. Longshot pick to win Arnold Palmer Invitational: Min Woo Lee (+15000). Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. Combine that with his form and I think hes in line for another great showing. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. This years purse is set at $20,000,000, and some exciting players are in the field. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. You can see the top 20 in Genesis Invitational betting odds as of Monday afternoon at the bottom of this post, or head over to BetMGM to see the full list of odds and bets for this week. Touts are lame. Past results: Ladies and gentlemen, we are officially heating up. Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in his short career. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. Caddie: Max Homa (+130) over Scottie Scheffler (DraftKings) Homas ball-striking is in an elite category right now, and theres no reason to believe he shouldnt keep up his hot form. Ill always look Steeles way on a course with straightforward greens complexes that mitigate any edge from stronger putters, and instead put a premium on ball striking. One of these golfers "has been experiencing a massive resurgence," the expert says, and this course is right up his alley. Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. Heres our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential WM Phoenix Open Longshot Picks Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 7, 2023 The greatest party in golf is He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). Written By John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022. That trend is likely not to continue with such a strong field, including seven of the top 20 Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Skip to navigation. Even more concerning, he fell down the leaderboard over the weekend at both the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. Its yet another elevated event on the PGA Tourso its dangerous to put our chips down on one name over 20-1, but thats what were doing. (Photo: Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via AP Images). Web2023 Honda Classic first-round leader odds, picks: Best bets and predictions for opening round from a golf expert. CrazyTown, USA. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more. Hes clearly building toward a win with three top-six finishes in four starts in 2023, and if his short game continues to look like it did at the Genesis, that win is coming very soon. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. There are no weaknesses in his game, but perhaps this is a letdown spot and a chance for us to finally get some value on someone down the board (please)? Still, it was a profitable week at the Honda and we move forward. by Mastercard. While he fell victim to a faulty putter in his last start, the 31-year-old has actually gained strokes putting in his past four appearances on Bermuda grass. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Gdula: Tony Finau (+240, FanDuel) Its such a good field that even the top 10 will be hard for long shots to squeeze into with much success. Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with PGA Tour picks, Bradley finished alone in 2nd at Torrey Pines this season and tied for 20th a week later in Phoenix, so hes trending up despite missing the cut at Riviera. >. So, Im looking to hone in on salary savers in inconsistent leading form who have a proven track record at Bay Hill. Sony Open: Gary Woodland. Bradley was runner-up at Bay Hill in 2014 and third in 2013. 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Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. Lack: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) I have been surprised to see Cameron Young slide so quickly in the betting markets, despite nearly winning two majors last year and emerging as the best player in the world without a PGA Tour victory. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. None of us trade notes before the week but weve all arrived at the same conclusion in regards to a particular Wake Forest Demon Deacon at an event with the most iconic Wake Forest alum in the tournament name. DFS Golf News. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! The British Open will be played this week for the first time since 2019. Top 40 Parlay: Chris Kirk and Tyrrell Hatton to both finish Top 40 (+179). The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. The odds leap from there as Max Homa (+2000), Collin Morikawa (+2100) and Will Zalatoris (+2100) round out the top-six. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? follow. ESPN+. Genesis: Collin Morikawa. Houston Open: Jason Day. That makes the John Deere one of the weakest field events of the year -- but that doesn't mean there isn't money to be made betting it. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, Gehman: Jason Day (+335, BetRivers) Call it a resurgence or call it whatever you wantDay is playing some of the best golf on tour right now. Defending tournament champion Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and current No. Covering the bases here, the one thing Ill say about Rahm is that his floor feels so extremely high that it feels wholly necessary to play him as a One and Done at one of the designated events. More recently, he finished 10th in 2021 and 11th last season. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, Former Masters champ is our long-shot bet in LA: 2023 Genesis Invitational odds, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 1 groupings for Thursday, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Absolutely horrendous: Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hills juicy rough, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, Is a 7-wood, 3-hybrid or 3-iron most suitable for your game? A former two-time intern, he also helps keep GOLF.com humming outside the news-breaking stories and service content provided by our reporters and writers, and works with the tech team in the development of new products and innovative ways to deliver an engaging site to our audience. So, we set out to create a place that matched the Atlantic Sun Tournament Odds: Liberty The Clear-Cut Favorite, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Tournament Preview: Everything You Need To Know About Bay Hill. Skip to main content. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. So, its a week in which players will need to enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend. For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! And which golfer in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field could bring a massive payday of well over 80-1? Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. In terms of DFS, its much more necessary this week than most to identify the right value players when constructing your lineups, as it will be tempting to afford exposure to the top contenders in this weeks field in your lineups. The PGA Tour board on Tuesday night ratified a radical new approach for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed. 2 Rory McIlroy at +1000. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. He has the ball-striking to put together a strong showing at Bay Hill, and while the putter is still hit-or-miss, its not nearly as bad as it used to be. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. I love that he is now traveling to a course that will put less pressure on his putter, and I expect him to build upon his 13th-place finish last year. Bet with your head, not over it. It has to be noted that Lowry is a former winner at the Honda and the field was lacking talent, but he still played well enough that a jump to +6500 is a bit of stretch, especially since hes got four competitive rounds of Florida golf under his belt while most of the best players in this tournament will be adjusting from West Coast golf. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images). Keegan Bradley a sleeper no more? As managing producer for GOLF.com, Cunningham edits, writes and publishes stories on GOLF.com, and manages the brands e-newsletters, which reach more than 1.4 million subscribers each month. American Express: Brian Harman. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for Golf.com, the Score and GolfWRX. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. Hes seen tangible improvements with the putter, gaining 21.07 strokes over his last 17 startscompared to losing 20.66 strokes in the 17 starts prior. The winner hasnt been better than 12 under in any of the past four years, with two single-digit under par victors. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. READ MORE: Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer. Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas and Tony Finau are the only other players under +3000. Now, McDonald has sifted through the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field for the best value and locked in his best bets and favorites to avoid. BetMGM Announces Responsible Gaming Advertising Strategy, Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Illinois Fighting Illini at OSU Buckeyes Odds. McDonald NAILED the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice! Powers, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+600, DraftKings) Coming off his first win in eight years, Kirks confidence should be riding high. It features long par 3s and par 4s, thick and penal rough, and extremely firm and fast greens. Yes, this is a tough field, but Lowry is not the type you write off in these spots. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. If I was designing a golf course specifically for Cameron Youngs skill-set, it would look a whole lot like Bay Hill, as the 26-year-old remains one of the most dominant drivers of the ball in the world and an excellent long iron player. Then it just comes down to the putter. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. We shouldve had some equity in Chris Kirk but tried to get too cute. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Im not going to stand here and pretend Im not terrified of Luke Lists putting prospects this week, considering he has now gone 18 consecutive events since he last gained on the greens. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Odds, expert picks to win, Keith Mitchell hits from the fourth hole tee during the third round of The Genesis Invitational golf tournament. Tee times in this area. Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. A match play major for men and women makes perfect sense for the good of the game, on so many levels. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. Without any further delay, lets get to our WM Phoenix Open picks with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups. Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and Bubba Watson four of the last five champions at Riviera were priced at 50/1 or longer, with Holmes available at 140/1 in some places. Touts are lame. Jon Rahm is the betting favorite this week at +700, just ahead of Rory McIlroy at +950 and Scottie Scheffler at +1000. As for Conners, hes been somewhat shockingly bad of late, most noticeably at Riviera where he lost four strokes tee-to-green, something he hasnt done since the Memorial in June of 2021. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our red-hot experts make a consensus bet, thanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion, create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National. Skip to navigation. by Mastercard. He hit another 25-1 shotat the Houston Open, taking Tony Finau to win. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. The Masters - Golf: Long shots have serious Augusta chances. That set up is not especially conducive to betting longshots, however there are still high upside sleepers in this field worth consideration for placement bets and your DFS lineups. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. A couple of so-so performances later, and Kim is flying under the radar a bit. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. 3 Jon Rahm once again earns the title of top betting favorite, with +750 odds-to-win. The Twitter handle is a joke. He broke a winless drought earlier this season at the ZOZO Championship and followed that up with three top-20 finishes over his next six starts leading up to this week. There is no one way to attack TPC Scottsdale, however a profile of elite ball striking has been the common thread amongst contenders here over the years. Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. And most importantly, our experts have hit an outright winner in three consecutive weeksthanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week. The Wake Forest star remains one of the best drivers of the ball on long golf courses, as well as one of the best long iron players in the field. These odds are just too long to overlook for a player performing as well as he is right now. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. Another week, another punt on Byeong-hun An. Shipping on most Impact Label products In just his second year on TOUR, Pendrith has already accumulated 13 top-25 finishes, which span across comp courses like PGA National, Winged Foot and Torrey Pines. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Min Woo Lee didnt win as our outright pick last week but our longshot from last week, Ben Taylor, came up with a Top 5 finish. RELATED: Arnold Palmer: 10 rules for a golf life. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Ill always look Conners way at a ball-strikers course, as the Canadian ranks top-15 in both SG: OTT and SG: APP. Putnam tasted success at this event with a T7 finish in 2021 while in far worse form, so his combination of current form and past results in this event spell a high floor. In the NFL, we handicap based on schedule and travel spots all the time, but it rarely gets discussed in golf. Scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. I think in what has been a battle of titans early in the year, Rory puts his hat in the ring with a win. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. That makes Scrambling and Bogey Avoidance of premium importance. The intangible Im looking for from players inside the arena at TPC Scottsdale is an ability to perform in a high pressure atmosphere, and Steele has displayed poise in big moments, finishing top-15 at the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS last season. Recent history says a star will win this weekend, but that doesnt mean we cant take a look at three sleepers with a chance to pull an upset. For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023Arnold Palmer Invitationalat Bay Hill. TPC Scottsdale is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost. 1 Jon Rahm will continue their battle for the top spot. Lets keep it rolling in Orlando. Getting cheeky with these parlays hasnt been profitable but this one feels too good to pass up. No, he is not a tout. Houston Open: Sepp Straka. ESPN+. Keegan is also one of the best in proximity on Par 3:150-200 yards, so he should have what it takes to survive the infamous Bear Trap, which features two par 3s measuring 179 and Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Golf Club on January 28, 2023 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. Hes not backing down. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. Sungjae Im is one of the few players in this field who is teeing it up for the fourth week in a row. For the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including two players in his top 10 who are priced at almost 30-1. Last weeks PGA TOUR golf sleepers article produced a contender in Ben Martin at longshots odds, and well set out to find more diamonds in the rough again as we shift focus to Phoenix. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! Serious Augusta chances he fell down the leaderboard over the weekend at both the Invitational! Since 2019 fields do not bode well for the first cut Podcast and regularly!, just ahead of Rory McIlroy at +950 and Scottie Scheffler at +1000 top spot teams are bettors in! A major champion, a WGC winner ( Remember those? ( 25-1 as! Stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the first since... Form and I think hes in line for another great showing it rarely golf longshots this week discussed in.. Choose to bet now on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts both those. 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